STUDY OF THE SITUATION IN THE AGRICULTURAL MARKET OF UKRAINE IN THE CONTEXT OF WAR CHALLENGES

Abstract

This article examines the formation and shifts in the conditions of Ukraine’s agricultural market amidst wartime challenges during the 2021–2025 period. It analyzes the dynamics of agricultural production, the volume and structure of agricultural exports, price fluctuations, logistical constraints, and the financial and economic operating conditions for producers. The study finds that the gross harvest of grain and leguminous crops fell from 86.0 million tonnes in 2021 to 53.9 million tonnes in 2022, before partially recovering to 60.8 million tonnes in 2025. The value of agri-food exports decreased from 27.7 billion USD in 2021 to 22.6 billion USD in 2025. Changes in the commodity and geographical composition of agricultural exports were identified, notably a decline in the share of the European Union alongside an expansion of shipments to other regions of the world. The primary drivers of agricultural market instability are identified, including wartime risks, damage to production and transport infrastructure, rising production costs, limited financial resources, and global price volatility. Priority measures for market stabilization are proposed, including the restoration of agricultural land, modernization of logistics infrastructure, development of domestic processing, expansion of state support for producers, digitalization of production, and the deepening of European integration. It is concluded that comprehensive measures are necessary to enhance the resilience and competitiveness of Ukraine’s agricultural sector.