DEVELOPMENT OF DEMOGRAPHIC POTENTIAL OF THE CARPATHIAN REGION OF UKRAINE IN THE VECTOR OF INTENSIVE YOUTH MIGRATION MOBILITY
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.31891/mdes/2022-4-3Keywords:
youth, Carpathian region, migration mobility, potential, natural losses, demographic sustainability, monitoringAbstract
The problem of intensification, uncontrolled spread of migration mobility of young people is widespread in many countries of the world but remains a challenge for Ukraine, where low economic growth is both the cause and consequence of significant migration of young people, which leads to a weakening of intellectual and personnel security and a decrease in the demographic potential of the country. mobility of young people. The method of studying the demographic potential of young people in the Carpathian region is to be forming an empirical guide based on an integrated assessment of demographic indicators. The integral index for the development of the demographic potential of young people is calculated by weighing group coefficients.
It is established that the regions of the Carpathian region of Ukraine have a moderate level of human potential among young people. Migration mobility of young people of the Carpathian region of Ukraine from 2010-to 2020 was sigmoidal and determined mainly by the socio-economic environment. It was found that the average annual increase in the level of migration mobility of young people in the Carpathian region of Ukraine was 1.8%. From 2010-to 2020 in the Carpathian region of Ukraine, the rate of development of the demographic potential of young people was 20% higher than in Ukraine as a whole. There is a downward trend, from 0.901 in 2010 to 0.883 in 2020 in the Carpathian region of Ukraine and from 0.788 in 2010 to 0.752 in 2020 in Ukraine as a whole.
The applied value of the developed methodological approach to assessing the development of the demographic potential of the region is the monitoring of the socio-demographic situation in the projection of three determinants – migration, reproduction, and losses. The downward dynamics of the index indicate destructive processes in the demographic system of the region, which lead to the depopulation of the territory, the transformation of the sexual structure of the population, a decrease in the intellectual and human resources of the region, intensive ageing of the population, etc.
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