MIGRATION RISKS AND THREATS TO THE SOCIO-ECONOMIC RESILIENCE

Abstract

The article carries out a conceptual study of migration risks of socio-economic resilience of the territory. It is determined that socio-economic resilience in the prism of migration risks is identified as the sustainability of growth of the economic system, the ability of the social sphere to minimize the spread of poverty and prevent social inequality, to ensure financial and material well-being at three levels – macro-, meso- (territory/region), micro- (household, including individual). Three approaches to the interpretation of the concept of «migration risks» have been allocated: destructive effects on the socio-economic resilience of the donor country and the recipient country of human resources; socio-economic, financial, demographic, socio-value, cultural, etc. losses of the country; the probability of generating new unfavorable socio-economic, medical-demographic, political-legal, religious-cultural determinants, conditions and factors influencing the migration intentions of the population.

It is proved that the migration risks of the socio-economic resilience of the country are the systemic impacts of migration processes, both the intensification of migration of human resources and the insufficient volume and/or unregulated migration transfers, on (1) labor market conditions, (2) the resource capacity of the economy to restore equilibrium and (3) investment and financial stability. The main criteria features and specific forms of migration risks are determined: the scale of impact (individual, group, local, regional, national, global), the levels of occurrence (micro-risks, macro-risks, mesorisks, mega-risks), the duration (current, prospective, short-term, medium-term), the nature of the action (dynamic, static), the factors of occurrence (socio-economic, socio-political, cultural and value, demographic, religious), the degree of risk (low, moderate, medium, high, very high), forms of manifestation (discrete, integrated), sources of occurrence (economic and financial, market and production, legal, innovation and investment, socio-political, credit and interest, ideological), causes of occurrence (subjective, objective, mixed), degree of validity (rational, irrational, adventurous), sphere of origin (organizational and economic, socio-legal, demographic, administrative, macroeconomic, legislative, regulatory, religious), sphere of influence (economic system, social space, labor market, capital market, financial well-being), channels of influence (risk of migration transfers.